| 农村居民消费与收入关系的状态空间模型研究——基于1990-2009中国统计数据分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 李凤升.农村居民消费与收入关系的状态空间模型研究——基于1990-2009中国统计数据分析[J].西北农林科技大学学报,2011,11(4):19-22. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李凤升 |
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| 作者单位： | 东北石油大学经济管理学院,黑龙江大庆,163318 |
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| 基金项目： | 黑龙江省哲学社科研究规划项目(08E026) |
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| 摘 要： | 为了研究中国农村居民消费与收入之间的动态关系,选取1990-2009年中国农村居民人均全年生活消费支出与农村居民人均纯收入统计数据作为样本,构建了变参数的状态空间模型。估计结果表明,中国农村居民自发消费为94.87元（以1990年为基期）,边际消费倾向大约在0.63-0.74之间波动,即农村居民收入每增加100元,将有大约63-74元被用于生活消费支出。近年来,中国农村居民人均收入和消费水平呈逐年提高、增长速度加快的趋势,但与城镇居民相比,消费和收入水平仍存在较大差距,应当从提高农村居民收入水平、健全社会保障程度等角度进一步提高农村居民生活水平。
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| 关 键 词： | 消费 收入 边际消费倾向 状态空间模型 |
Research on State Space Model About Relationship Between Consumption and Income of Rural Households——Based on Statistical Data From 1990-2009 in China |
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| LI Feng-sheng.Research on State Space Model About Relationship Between Consumption and Income of Rural Households——Based on Statistical Data From 1990-2009 in China[J].Journal of Northwest Sci-Tech University of Agriculture and Forestry(Social Science),2011,11(4):19-22. |
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| Authors: | LI Feng-sheng |
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| Institution: | LI Feng-sheng(School of Economic and Management,Northeast Petroleum University,Daqing,Helongjiang 163318,China) |
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| Abstract: | The statistical data are selected about annual living expenditure per capita and annual net income per capita of rural households from 1990-2009 as a sample to study the dynamic relationship between consumption and income of rural households in China.And the time varying parameter model is constructed based on state space model.It is showed that the spontaneous consumption of rural residents is 94.87 yuan(with the price of 1990 as the base),and the marginal propensity to consume fluctuates from 0.63-0.73 mo... |
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| Keywords: | consumption income marginal propensity of consuming state space model |
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