aORTEC Finance, Orly Plaza, Orlyplein 145c, 1043 DV Amsterdam, The Netherlands;bDepartment of Mathematics, Eindhoven University of Technology, P.O. Box 513, 5600 MB Eindhoven, The Netherlands
Abstract:
The problem of nonparametric drift estimation for ergodic diffusions is studied from a Bayesian perspective. In particular, Gaussian process priors are exhibited that yield optimal contraction rates if the drift function belongs to a smoothness class.