中国省际资本使用效率测算:1981～2005

采用永续盘存法和最新的数据测算中国31个省份1980年～2005年的建筑和设备资本存量,而后 结合各省的GDP数据测得中国各省份1981年～2005年的资本边际产出比。从计算结果看,东部 省份资本积累已经相对饱和且在2001年前后开始出现资本边际产出递减的情况;中部省份资 本存量水平适中;西部省份资本积累还不足,应继续加大资本投入。

China-s Provincial Estimates of the Efficiency of Capital Use: 1981~2005

We estimated China-s 31 provinces in 1980~2005 in the construction and equipmen t capital stock by perpetual inventory method (PIM) with the latest data, and th en measured the marginal capital output ratio of China-s various provinces in 19 81~2005 with the GDP data. The capital accumulation in China-s eastern province s has been relatively saturated; Central provinces are at moderate level of capi tal stock; western provinces are still inadequate in capital accumulation and th eir capital efficiency is yet to improve, so they should continue to increase ca pital investment.