评论“过密化”假设引出的分析思路问题

“过密化”假设提出后,中国学界的回应形成三种类型。数字分析派主要以农民家庭收入和农民生活水平作为评判标准。“过密化”假设认为,农户的经营目标是亩产量最大化。“过密化”假设的致命错误是它和“农村经济变迁”假设结合在一起。“农村经济变迁”假设构思的三种状态应当有一个合理的演进过程,如果三者之间不能找到一个恰当的过渡点,“农村经济变迁”假设就存在被证伪的可能性。“过密化”假设对需要用到的经济学理论,对人均产值长期没有得到提高这个问题,都没有很好地进行研究。衡量中国农村的经济发展,需要规定一种统一的定量属性的标准。

Comment on the Analytic Train of Thought Problem Derived from the Involutionary Hypothesis

After involutionary hypothesis has been put forward, three kinds of responses have come into being in the world of academy in China, among which the digital analysis school argues that the family income and the living standards of farmers are the judging criteria. The involutionary hypothesis holds that the farmers' goal of management is the maximization of the yield per mu. The vital defect in the involutionary hypothesis is its integration into the rural economic transformation hypothesis. There should be a reasonable evolution process for the three states designed by the rural economic transformation hypothesis. If a suitable transition point could not be found in these three states, the rural economic transformation may possibly be proved false. The involutionary hypothesis has not explored the needed economic theories very well and the problem of the production value per capita that has not been increased in the long run. Therefore, a uniform quantitative standard should be stipulated to measure the economic development in the rural areas.