| 灰色模型在社会燃气事故预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 龚敏.灰色模型在社会燃气事故预测中的应用[J].交通与港航,2009,23(3):47-48. |
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| 作者姓名： | 龚敏 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海燃气市北销售有限公司 |
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| 摘 要： | 简要介绍灰色预测理论，以及GM（1，1）模型的建模过程。并应用灰色预测模型对南方某大型城市燃气公司管道燃气供应范围内的社会燃气事故死亡人数进行预测并实施检验。检验结果表明应用灰色预测模型预测社会燃气事故死亡人数的发展规律是可行有效的。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测模型 燃气 死亡人数 |
Application of Grey Model in Social Gas Accident Forecast |
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| Gong Min.Application of Grey Model in Social Gas Accident Forecast[J].Communication & Shipping,2009,23(3):47-48. |
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| Authors: | Gong Min |
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| Abstract: | Grey forecast theory and the process of GM(1,1) modeling is briefly introduced. And,a grey forecast model is used for forecasting and checking the number of people killed from social gas accidents in a certain southern large-scale urban gas company's gas supply. The result shows it is effective that grey forecast model be used for forecasting the law of development of the number of people killed from social gas accidents. |
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