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Global employment and decent jobs, 2010–2030: The forces of demography and automation
Authors:David E Bloom  Mathew J McKenna  Klaus Prettner
Abstract:Globally, an estimated 734 million jobs will be required between 2010 and 2030 to accommodate recent and ongoing demographic shifts, account for plausible changes in labour force participation rates, and achieve target unemployment rates of at or below 4 per cent for adults and at or below 8 per cent for youth. The facts that most new jobs will be required in countries where “decent” jobs are less prevalent and workers in many occupations are increasingly subject to risks of automation further compound the challenge of job creation, which is already quite sizable in historical perspective. Failure to create the jobs that are needed through 2030 would put currently operative social security systems under pressure and undermine efforts to guarantee the national social protection floors enshrined in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
Keywords:demographic aspect  labour market  employment  international  aspect dé  mographique  marché  du travail  emploi  international  aspecto demográ  fico  mercado de trabajo  empleo  internacional  demographischer Aspekt  Arbeitsmarkt  Beschä  ftigung  international
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