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Public Opinion on Foreign Policy: The Multilateral Public that Perceives Itself as Unilateral
Authors:Todorov  Alexander; Mandisodza  Anesu N
Institution:ALEXANDER TODOROV is an assistant professor of psychology and public affairs in the Department of Psychology and Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs at Princeton University. ANESU N. MANDISODZA is a member of the research staff in the Department of Psychology at Princeton University. The authors thank Susan Fiske, Joachim Krueger, Steven Kull, Dale Miller, Deborah Prentice, Clay Ramsey, and one anonymous reviewer for their insightful comments on earlier drafts of this article.
Abstract:Americans have a strong preference for multilateral foreignpolicies over unilateral foreign policies. But do Americansknow their own preferences? Data from a national survey showwide misperceptions of public opinion on foreign policy. WhileAmericans strongly prefer multilateral policies, they overestimatepublic support for unilateral policies. For example, while only23 percent of respondents agreed that the more important lessonof September 11 is that the United States should work aloneto fight terrorism rather than work with other countries, respondentsestimated that almost 50 percent of Americans endorsed thisview. Moreover, misperceptions of public opinion were relatedto subsequent judgments of specific policies. For example, respondentswho incorrectly perceived the unilateral view as the majorityview were 1.84 times more likely to support a presidential decisionto invade Iraq without the approval of the United Nations (UN)Security Council than respondents who correctly perceived theunilateral view as the minority view. Misperceptions of publicopinion were also associated with the belief that the currentforeign policy reflects the opinions of the American people.This belief in the legitimacy of the foreign policy was as stronga predictor of support for specific unilateral policies as respondents’attitudes.
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