On diagnostic checking of the autoregressive conditional intensity model |
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Authors: | Sai Man Simon Kwok Wai Keung Li |
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Affiliation: | 1. Department of Economics, Cornell University Ithaca, New York 14850, USA;2. Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China |
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Abstract: | The autoregressive conditional intensity model proposed by Russell (1998) is a promising option for fitting multivariate high frequency irregularly spaced data. The authors acknowledge the validity of this model by showing the independence of its generalized residuals, a crucial assumption of the model formulation not readily recognized by researchers. The authors derive the large‐sample distribution of the autocorrelations of the generalized residual series and use it to construct a goodness‐of‐fit test for the model. Empirical results compare the performance of their test with other off‐the‐shelf tests such as the Ljung–Box test. They illustrate the use of their test with transaction records of the HSBC stock. |
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Keywords: | Asymptotic distribution autoregressive conditional intensity diagnostic test goodness‐of‐fit residual autocorrelation |
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