回流农民农业经营职业化的影响因素

基于在甘肃、湖南和贵州三省的调查数据,运用二元Logistic回归模型,分析了回流农民农业经营决策和新型农民职业化的影响因素。结果表明:回流农民是否从事农业经营和能否成为新型职业农民同时受到个人禀赋、农业信息感知和乡土情结的影响。个人禀赋的影响表现为:教育程度较高和非常健康的回流农民从事农业经营的可能性低;有培训经历和非常健康的回流农民成为新型职业农民的可能性高;农业信息感知的影响表现为:惠农政策感知水平越高,回流农民从事农业经营的可能性越大,成为新型职业农民的可能性也越大;农业风险感知水平越高,回流农民从事农业经营的可能性越低;支农举措感知水平越高,回流农民成为新型职业农民的可能性越大;乡土情结的影响表现为:有土地流入经历的回流农民从事农业经营的可能性更大,爱农情结越深的回流农民越容易成为新型职业农民。建议从改善农业经营金融扶持与农业保险体系、强化农业技术培训、提升农业信息传播效果和激发回流农民乡土情结四个方面入手,吸引更多回流农民从事农业经营,培育更多回流农民成为新型职业农民。

Impact Factors on Agricultural Management Decisions and Agricultural Management Achievements of Returned Rural Migrants

Based on survey data from three provinces of Gansu,Hunan and Guizhou,this paper analyzes the possible influence of personal endowment,agricultural information perception and local complex on whether returned rural migrants choose to conduct agricultural management and whether they can become new professional farmers.The results show that whether the returned rural migrants are engaged in agricultural management and become new professional farmers are affected by personal endowment,agricultural information perception and rural complex.The impact of personal endowment is that,the returned migrants with higher education level and healthier condition are less likely to be engaged in agricultural management.Compared with those who have no training experience and poor health,the returned migrants who have training experience and healthier condition are more likely to become new professional farmers.The impact of agricultural information perception is that:the higher the perception on peasants benefiting policy,the higher is the probability for returned migrants to be in engaged in agricultural management,as well as to become new professional farmers.The higher the perception on agricultural risks,the lower is the likelihood for returned migrants to be engaged in agricultural managements.The higher the perception on agriculture support measurements,the higher is the probability for returned migrants to become new professional farmers.The influence of local complex is as below:returned migrants with land inflow experience are more likely to be engaged in agricultural management.Meanwhile,the deeper the love on farmers,the higher is the probability for returned migrants to become new professional farmers.In order to cultivate new professional farmers,it is supposed to improve the agricultural financing and insurance systems,to strengthen farmers’professional training,to enhance the agricultural information dissemination,and to improve the social security for farmers.