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物流系统的多目标预测
引用本文:云俊,王少梅. 物流系统的多目标预测[J]. 武汉理工大学学报(社会科学版), 2001, 14(3): 243-245
作者姓名:云俊  王少梅
作者单位:1. 武汉理工大学,管理学院,湖北,武汉,430063
2. 武汉理工大学,物流系,湖北,武汉,430063
基金项目:深圳机场航空物流项目(项目编号:52079)
摘    要:
物流系统是一个开放的复杂性系统,也是集多项功能为一体的综合性系统.物流系统的战略规划必须以科学的预测结果为基础.该文根据物流企业的特点,阐述了物流系统预测的新思路及方法--多目标预测,并以深圳机场作航空物流园区的市场调研及预测项目为例,说明了多目标预测方法如何应用于物流系统.

关 键 词:物流系统  多目标预测  战略规划
文章编号:1009-0614(2001)03-0243-03
修稿时间:2001-03-20

Multi-target Forecast Of Logistics System
Yun Jun Wang Shaomei. Multi-target Forecast Of Logistics System[J]. Journal of Wuhan University of Technology(Social Science Edition), 2001, 14(3): 243-245
Authors:Yun Jun Wang Shaomei
Abstract:
Logistics system is a complex and open system. Forecast result is the base of the strategy decision of logistics system.This paper,based on logistics system characteristics,demonstrates a new idea of multi target forecast of logistic system.Forecast reliability affects business decision directly. Forecast research workers show solicitude for the research of forecast method and forecast reliability in the stochastic system.This paper deals with insurance reliability of forecast for stochastic system. An example is given to analyze a stochastic system that is a logistics system and demonstrates a method that gives a good forecast result.
Keywords:logistic system  multi target forecast  strategy decision  
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