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我国农村居民消费结构的稳定性分析
引用本文:王博文,郭亚军,刘仓.我国农村居民消费结构的稳定性分析[J].太原理工大学学报(社会科学版),2009,27(2):6-9.
作者姓名:王博文  郭亚军  刘仓
作者单位:1. 西北农林科技大学,经济管理学院,陕西,杨凌,712100
2. 西安财经学院,管理学院,陕西,西安,710063
摘    要:利用邹氏稳定性检验方法对我国农村居民消费行为的稳定性进行分析,发现从1990年以来农村居民的消费结构发生了质的变化。根据这种分析,应用变参数模型分析农村居民消费和收入的关系,得出农村居民消费对农村居民收入存在着显著的影响关系的结论,提出保持农民收入持续增长,促进消费提高,进而促进农民收入提高的建议。

关 键 词:农村居民  消费结构  稳定性  变参数模型

The Stability Analysis on Consumption Structure of Chinese Countryside Resident
WANG Bo-wen,GUO Ya-jun,LIU Cang.The Stability Analysis on Consumption Structure of Chinese Countryside Resident[J].Journal of Taiyuan University of Technology(Social Sciences Edition),2009,27(2):6-9.
Authors:WANG Bo-wen  GUO Ya-jun  LIU Cang
Institution:1. College of Economics and Management, Northwest A &F University ,Yangling Shaanxi 712100,China; 2. School of Management ,Xi' an University of Finance and Economics Institute, Xi ' an Shaanxi 710063, China)
Abstract:This paper applies Chow breakpoint test to analyze the stability of consumption structure of Chinese countryside resident,and find that the consumption structure of rural people have had a significant change since 1990. According to this analysis,the paper make use of the varying parameter model to analyze the relationship of income and consumption. It also find that there is a remarkable causal relationship between the income and the consumption, and the consumption influence obviously the income to countryside resident. So it is proposed that we should make the income of countryside resident increase sustainable to enhance consumption and make the income increasing quickly.
Keywords:countryside resident  consumption structure  stability  the varying parameter model
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