Investigating dependence between frequency and severity via simple generalized linear models |
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Authors: | Woojoo Lee Sojung C. Park Jae Youn Ahn |
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Affiliation: | 1. Department of Statistics, Inha University, 235 Yonghyun-Dong, Nam-Gu, Incheon 402-751, Republic of Korea;2. College of Business Administration, Seoul National University, Gwanak-gu, Seoul 151-916, Republic of Korea;3. Department of Statistics, Ewha Womans University, 11-1 Daehyun-Dong, Seodaemun-Gu, Seoul 120-750, Republic of Korea |
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Abstract: | Recently, a body of literature proposed new models relaxing a widely-used but controversial assumption of independence between claim frequency and severity in non-life insurance rate making. This paper critically reviews a generalized linear model approach, where a dependence between claim frequency and severity is introduced by treating frequency as a covariate in a regression model for severity. As an extension of this approach, we propose a dispersion model for severity. For this model, the information loss caused by using average severity rather than individual severity is examined in detail and the parameter estimators suffering from low efficiency are identified. We also provide analytical solutions for the aggregate sum to help rate making. We show that the simple functional form used in current research may not properly reflect the real underlying dependence structure. A real data analysis is given to explain our analytical findings. |
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Keywords: | C300 primary 62P05 secondary 97M30 Dependence Generalized linear model Rate making Dispersion parameter |
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