中国地区收入与二氧化碳排放的联合动态性研究

本文分析了社会福利的两个主要因素—收入和二氧化碳排放。在收入和二氧化碳排放关系分析的基础上，利用马尔科夫链分析了收入-二氧化碳排放的联合状态转移机制。研究结果表明，收入是影响二氧化碳排放的重要因素，高收入对应着高排放。低收入水平地区倾向于通过增加排放来带动经济发展。目前，高收入-高排放处于稳定状态，但从长期看，该状态的地区比重很小。我国没有进入低收入-高排放的收入环境陷阱。

Research on Co-evolution Dynamic of Rural Income and Carbon Dioxide Emissions in China

This paper analyses the two main social welfare-income and carbon dioxide emission. Based on the analysis of the relationship of income and carbon dioxide emissions, the paper analyses the joint state transfer mechanism of income-carbon dioxide emissions with Markov chain. The results show that, the income is an important factor affecting the carbon dioxide emissions, high income corresponds to high emission. Low income areas have tendency to increase income by increasing emissions. At present, the high income-high emissions is a stable state, but in the long run, the proportion of the areas in this state is small. It has not entered the environment trap of low income and high emissions in China.