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Normal quantile estimation based on minimizing the error in predicted distribution functions
Authors:J.E. Angus
Affiliation:Hughes Aircraft Company , Ground Systems Group , Fullerton, California
Abstract:Estimators of the form [Xbar] + kS for estimating the p quantile of a normal distribution are studied when k is chosen to either minimize the mean square error in the predicted distribution function or to make the predicted distribution function unbiased for p. Here, [Xbar] and S are the usual sample mean and standard deviation, respectively, and the predicted distribution function is the true (normal) distribution function evaluated at the estimated quantile.

These k values are presented for various sample sizes and values of p, and application to warranty determination is discussed.
Keywords:mean square error in predicted distribution function  non-central t-distribution  bivariate t-distribution  warranties
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