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Limited information bayesian analysis of a structural coefficient in a simultaneous equations system
Authors:Hiroki Tsurumi
Institution:Department of Economics , Rutgers University , New Brunswic, N.J., 08903
Abstract:An analytical expression is obtained for the marginal posterior density for a structural coefficient in a simultaneous equations system based on a limited information Bayesian analysis. A con- ditional posterior density is obtained given reduced form para- meters. This conditional posterior density is in univariate student t form. Numerical examples suggest that the conditional density hasa tighter distribution around the posterior mean than the unconditional density when the correlation between the endo- genous variables and the structural error term is high.
Keywords:limited information Bayesian analysis  simulations equations system  reduced form parameters  marginalposterion density  conditional posterion density
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