Limited information bayesian analysis of a structural coefficient in a simultaneous equations system |
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Authors: | Hiroki Tsurumi |
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Affiliation: | Department of Economics , Rutgers University , New Brunswic, N.J., 08903 |
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Abstract: | An analytical expression is obtained for the marginal posterior density for a structural coefficient in a simultaneous equations system based on a limited information Bayesian analysis. A con- ditional posterior density is obtained given reduced form para- meters. This conditional posterior density is in univariate student t form. Numerical examples suggest that the conditional density hasa tighter distribution around the posterior mean than the unconditional density when the correlation between the endo- genous variables and the structural error term is high. |
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Keywords: | limited information Bayesian analysis simulations equations system reduced form parameters marginalposterion density conditional posterion density |
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