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| 陕西省“十二五”经济增长的预测研究 | |
| 引用本文： | 陈红霞. 陕西省“十二五”经济增长的预测研究[J]. 统计与信息论坛, 2010, 25(10): 86-90 |
| 作者姓名： | 陈红霞 |
| 作者单位： | 西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安710061 |
| 基金项目： | 陕西省发展改革委员会"十二五"重大项目，陕西省社会科学基金 |
| 摘 要： | ＂十二五＂规划在即,经济增长率及经济总量预测是制定规划目标重要的基础性工作。根据陕西省改革开放以来30年的国民经济核算历史数据,运用小波多分辨分析-ARMA和灰色GM（1,1）的预测方法,分别对陕西省2010-2015年的经济增长率和经济总量进行了预测研究,为陕西省设定＂十二五＂经济增长的动态目标值提供基础性依据。 |
| 关 键 词： | “十二五”规划 经济增长率 经济总量 |
Forecast Study on Shanxi 12th Five-Year Economic Growth |
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| CHEN Hong-xia. Forecast Study on Shanxi 12th Five-Year Economic Growth[J]. Statistics & Information Tribune, 2010, 25(10): 86-90 | |
| Authors: | CHEN Hong-xia |
| Affiliation: | CHEN Hong-xia(School of Economics and Finance,Xi＇an Jiaotong University,Xi＇an 710061,China) |
| Abstract: | 12th Five-Year plan is soon launching,forecasting economic growth and economic aggregates is an important and basic work for planning objectives.Using Shanxi province 30-years historical data of the national accounts since the reform and opening up,this paper applies wavelet multi-resolution analysis-ARMA and GM（1,1） method to predict Shanxi province 2010-2015 economic growth rate and economic aggregates.It could provide a basis for Shanxi province setting 12th Five-Year dynamic target of economic growth. |
| Keywords: | 12th Five-Year plan economic growth rate economic aggregates |
| 本文献已被 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |