基于成本方法的中国人力资本估算

针对目前部分学者应用永续盘存法来估算人力资本存量忽略了折旧和价格的问题，采集和并估算了中国1952-2003年间的人力资本形成量序列数据，并与物质资本形成流量进行比较。估算方法倾向于低估人力资本投资流量，这种低估在前期误差较小，在近期误差较大，且有上升趋势。但就纳入估算的内容和时期来看，较中国已有的成本法估算有较大的扩展，而且其估计有一定的可靠性，可以将此作为今后进一步估算的基准。

Human Capital Measure of China: Cost-based Method

Recently, some research use the perpetual inventory methods to measure human capital stock. But these measures are all neglect the depreciation and price index of human capital. The author collects the data and measures the series of human capital flux from 1952 to 2003 of China. In the sense of the methods, the measures tend underestimate it, and the error is small in early years and large in late. In the view of the content and period, the measure has been expanded and the result is reliable, and can be the benchmark for the future study.