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户籍制度改革的成本与收益估算:基于广东省的数据
引用本文:吴伟东.户籍制度改革的成本与收益估算:基于广东省的数据[J].南方人口,2011,26(5):11-16.
作者姓名:吴伟东
作者单位:暨南大学人文学院,广东珠海,519070
基金项目:本文的英文版初稿曾在2011年6月的“rrheRole of Institions in an Ear of Changes”研讨会上发表,感谢美国公共行政学会副会长Stephen E.Condey教授和渥太华大学的Geranda Notten老师为本文提出的宝贵建议.
摘    要:户籍制度改革是中国当前的一项重大议题,制度改革的财政成本和收益迫切需要得到准确的估算。从人口迁移和福利磁力的研究视角出发,本文聚焦于制度改革的社会救助福利成本与收益,在估算公式中纳人了区域福利水平差距、劳动者定居比率和福利迁移比率等数据指标进行估算。估算结果表明:现阶段制度改革的高昂财政负担和我国相对紧张的财政状况,使制度改革只能遵循渐进的方式进行,目前仍不具备立即推行全面改革的足够空间。

关 键 词:户籍制度改革  财政成本  福利磁力

An Estimate on the Fiscal Cost and Benefit of Hukou System Reform: An Analysis of the Data From Guangdong
WU Weidong.An Estimate on the Fiscal Cost and Benefit of Hukou System Reform: An Analysis of the Data From Guangdong[J].South China Population,2011,26(5):11-16.
Authors:WU Weidong
Institution:WU Weidong School of Humanities,Ji'nan University,Zhuhai Guangdong 519070
Abstract:Hukou system reform is one of the important policy issues facing China and It is import to estimate the fiscal cost and benefits of the Hukou system reform as much accurate as possible before the enforcement of the reform.From the perspective of migration and welfare attraction,this paper tries to estimate the costs and benefits of hukou reform given that the reform requires more fiscal input in social assistance.The estimate model adopt the variables such as inter-regional gap in welfares,rate of settling ...
Keywords:Hukou System Reform  Fiscal Cost  Welfare Attraction  
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