| 中国区域能源消费的决定因素及空间溢出效应———基于空间面板数据计量经济模型的实证 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴玉鸣.中国区域能源消费的决定因素及空间溢出效应———基于空间面板数据计量经济模型的实证[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2012(4):124-132. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴玉鸣 |
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| 作者单位： | 华东理工大学 商学院,上海200237 |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部人文社会科学研究基金一般项目(08JA790030);广西自然科学基金项目(0832094) |
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| 摘 要： | 应用空间面板计量经济模型分析了中国各省域的能源消费行为、决定因素及其空间溢出效应.研究显示,我国各个省域的能源需求主要由产业结构、经济增长和人口增长等因素决定,价格机制在调控能源需求方面还未能发挥出应有的作用.应用空间滞后面板计量经济模型和空间误差面板计量经济模型对区域能源消费行为的空间溢出效应进行分析检验证实:邻近区域的能源消费行为未能影响到本地区的能源消费,但能源利用效率等被忽略的因素对邻近区域的能源消费行为具有很强的溢出效应.
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| 关 键 词： | 能源消费 决定因素 空间溢出效应 空间面板计量经济模型 |
Determinants and Spatial Spillovers Effects of Regional Energy Consumption in China:Positive Study Based on Spatial Panel Data Econometric Models |
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| WU Yu-ming.Determinants and Spatial Spillovers Effects of Regional Energy Consumption in China:Positive Study Based on Spatial Panel Data Econometric Models[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science Edition),2012(4):124-132. |
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| Authors: | WU Yu-ming |
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| Institution: | WU Yu-ming(School of Business,East China University of Science & Technology,Shanghai 200237,China) |
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| Abstract: | Using techniques of spatial panel data econometrics,we study the determinants of energy demand activity and its spatial spillovers for 30 Chinese provinces.The analytic and test results show that the determinants of provincial energy demand are factors such as industrial structure,economic growth and population growth.The effects of price mechanism does not exert properly on adjusting and controlling the energy demand.The energy demand activity of the neighborhoods does not affect their own regions,while the neglect factors such as energy utilization efficiency of the regions have strong spillovers effects on their neighborhoods by employing the spatial lag panel data model and spatial error panel data model. |
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| Keywords: | Energy Consumption Determinants Spatial Spillovers Effects Spatial Panel Data Econometric Model |
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