| 我国工业重工化对经济增长影响的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 陶应发,郑涛. 我国工业重工化对经济增长影响的实证分析[J]. 中国地质大学学报(社会科学版), 2009, 9(1) |
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| 作者姓名： | 陶应发 郑涛 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国地质大学,经济管理学院,湖北,武汉,430074 |
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| 摘 要： | 近些年来,我国出现了重新重工业化的趋势,重工业在我国经济中发挥着特殊重要的作用.采用1981-2006年的数据,在单位根检验、协整检验和格兰杰因果关系检验的基础上建立了误差修正模型,以此说明我国重工业与经济增长的长期均衡的正向关系和短期动态关系,指出我国应大力发展重工业,走一条新型工业化的道路.
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| 关 键 词： | 重工业 经济增长 协整分析 误差修正 |
Impact of Heavy Industrialization on the Economic Growth:An Empirical Study of China |
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| TAO Ying-fa,ZHENG Tao. Impact of Heavy Industrialization on the Economic Growth:An Empirical Study of China[J]. Journal of China University of Geosciences(Social Sciences Edition), 2009, 9(1) |
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| Authors: | TAO Ying-fa ZHENG Tao |
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| Affiliation: | School of Economics and Management;China University of Geosciences;Wuhan 430074;China |
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| Abstract: | This paper selects the data from 1981 to 2006 and sets up the vector error correction model based on unit root test,co-integration test and granger test.The paper uses the model to illustrate the long positive relation and the short dynamic relation between heavy industry and economic growth,and then points out that we should speed up the heavy industry on a new-type industrialization road. |
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| Keywords: | heavy industry economic growth co-integration analysis error correction |
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