| 研发项目过程风险管理方法综合集成问题研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 王长峰.研发项目过程风险管理方法综合集成问题研究[J].中国管理科学,2009,17(4):148-155. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王长峰 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 北京邮电大学经济管理学院, 北京100876;
2. 华中科技大学公共管理学院, 湖北武汉430074 |
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| 基金项目： | 国防科工委“十五”重点基金研究项目(072003A001) |
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| 摘 要： | 针对研发(R&D)项目过程风险特征,重点研究和提出了解决研发(R&D)项目过程风险的"模糊-事件树-故障树"综合集成定量方法,并采用算术平均数方法和加权几何平均数方法修正了"模糊-事件树"与"模糊-故障树"综合集成问题。通过实证研究表明,该定量方法能够有效地解决研发项目过程风险实际问题。
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| 关 键 词： | 研发(R&D)项目 过程风险 集成 “模糊-事件树-故障树” |
| 收稿时间： | 2008-5-5 |
| 修稿时间： | 2009-7-10 |
Research On the Integration and Intelligentization Models of the Process Risk Management for the Research and Development Project |
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| WANG Chang-feng.Research On the Integration and Intelligentization Models of the Process Risk Management for the Research and Development Project[J].Chinese Journal of Management Science,2009,17(4):148-155. |
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| Authors: | WANG Chang-feng |
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| Institution: | 1. School of. Economics and Management, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing 100876, China;
2. College of Public Administration, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the analysis of the characteristics in the process risk management of projects, the author has focused on the Fuzzy-ETA(event tree analysis)-FTA(fault tree analysis) method applied in the process risk management of R&;D projects.The author has analyzed the possibility of an integration of EAT-FAT,and solved the problems in the integration of Fuzzy-EAT and Fuzzy-FAT by applying arithmetic average and geometric average, thus solving managerial problems in the process risk management of projects with reliable and effective process risk management guidance. The results are practical guides and importance references for the management of large R&;D projects for the Chinese military equipment investments. |
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| Keywords: | R&D projects process risk integration and intelligentization Fuzzy-ETA-FTA theory |
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