中国教育经济复杂系统的协调性研究

教育发展对经济增长的贡献已经得到广泛认可。基于系统科学, 运用协同学理论和CRITIC赋权方法构建教育经济系统协调度测量方法, 对中国1993—2012年的统计数据开展实证研究。结果表明:科技成果的数量与应用、小学升初中的升学率和第三产业增加值占比分别是影响高等教育、基础教育和经济增长子系统有序度的主要因素;基础教育子系统的有序度整体上要高于经济增长子系统, 高等教育子系统的有序度相对最低, 而2003年以来3个子系统的有序度都呈现稳步提高趋势;教育经济复杂系统实现了从无序到有序发展、协调发展的转变, 但目前协调度仍然很低。

Interpreting the Synergetic Property of Education-economy Complex System: Evidence in China

The contribution of education to economic growth has been well recognized, but their complex synergetic nexus and the contribution of different types of education to economy have not been systematically studied. Therefore, based on the system sciences, the paper employs the synergetics and CRITIC(Criteria Importance Through Inter-criteria Correlation)approach to develop the method to evaluate the synergetic degree of China's education-economy system and conduct empirical study during 1993-2012. The results indicate that, first, the quantity and application of scientific outputs, the enrollment rate from primary to secondary schools and the share of the tertiary industry in the economy have become the dominant factors for the order degree of China's higher education, basic education and economic growth sub-systems, respectively. Second, the order degree of basic education overall outweighs that of economic growth, while that of higher education ranks the lowest; however, the order degree of the three sub-systems has seen steady increase since 2003. Finally, China's education-economy complex system has realized the transition from disordered towards ordered development, while its synergetic degree appears still fairly low.