金融集聚影响区域经济增长的系统动力学仿真——基于要素流动视角

金融集聚通过金融功能的强化以及集聚效应的发挥，在促进区域经济增长上发挥着不可小觑的作用。遵循“机理分析-路径分析-模型分析”的研究思路，归纳出金融集聚影响区域经济增长的规模经济、信息溢出、知识溢出、创新催化、结构调整以及自我强化效应；基于资金、技术和人才等生产要素流动视角分析金融集聚与区域经济增长的因果反馈路径；建立系统动力学模型，并应用Vensim PLE进行仿真模拟和政策实验。研究结果表明，人才政策的实施效果优于法律制度的完善，而创新支持政策的实施对区域经济增长的影响效果不明显。据此提出若干政策建议以实现二者协同发展。

System Dynamics Simulation of the Effect of Financial Agglomeration on Regional Economic Growth--Based on the Perspective of Factor Flow

Financial agglomeration plays a significant role in promoting regional economic growth through exploiting financial function and agglomeration effects.According to the ideas of “mechanism analysis,path analysis and model analysis”,the article summarizes the financial agglomeration's effects on the regional economic growth,including economies of scale,information spillover,knowledge spillover,innovation catalysis,structural adjustment and self reinforcing effect;based on the aspect of flow of production factors,like capital,technology and talents,financial agglomeration and regional economic growth causality feedback paths are analyzed and a system dynamics model is established.Simulation and experiments of policies are conducted through Vensim PLE.The results show that the effect of the implementation of talent policy is better than that of the legal system,and the effect of the implementation of innovation support policy on regional economic growth is not obvious.Therefore,relevant policies should be established to achieve cooperation between financial agglomeration and regional economy.