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"SECRET BALLOTS" AND SELF-REPORTS IN AN EXIT-POLL EXPERIMENT
Authors:BISHOP, GEORGE F.   FISHER, BONNIE S.
Affiliation:GEORGE F. BISHOP is a professor in the Department of Political Science, Center for the Study of Democratic Citizenship, University of Cincinnati. BONNIE S. FISHER is an associate professor in the Department of Political Science, Center for the Study of Democratic Citizenship, University of Cincinnati
Abstract:
A controlled exit-poll experiment on Election Day (November3, 1992) shows that refusals to answer questions and other evasiveforms of responding were significantly lower when respondentswere given a self-administered "secret-ballot" questionnairethan when they were interviewed face-to-face. While there weresome suggestive interactions of this mode-of-data collectioneffect with age and sex, and with the partisan atmosphere ofthe precinct in which the interviews were conducted, they wereborderline in significance, inconsistent in pattern, or difficuitto interpret. More important, comparisons with official electionreturns (the truth) indicated that the secret-ballot techniquewas more accurate than were face-to-face interviews in estimatingthe final outcome on the most socially sensitive of three self-reportedvotes: a vote for or against a tax levy for elderly services.Using a genuine secret ballot in the tradition of the olderGallup preelection polls can thus increase the validity of self-reportsin exit polls today.
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