中国居民消费习惯形成的二元结构研究

中国经济发展的城乡二元结构特征及东中西部梯度开发的区域特征必然会在一定程度上影响居民的消费行为,对中国城乡以及不同地区居民的消费习惯形成进行差异性研究能够揭示许多政策意义上的事实。借鉴Dynan提出的具有习惯形成的生命周期消费模型,一方面,结合状态空间模型求解出各时点上城乡居民的消费习惯参数,实证结果揭示了城乡居民习惯形成的变化路径存在较为显著的差异;另一方面,结合面板数据模型求解出东中西部居民的习惯形成参数,揭示了中国居民消费习惯形成所具有的地区差异性。分析结果表明,消费习惯形成与经济发展水平、现期与预期收入水平以及市场化发展水平相关。

Urban and Rural Dual Structure and Regional Differences of Chinese Household Habit Formation

Characteristic of household consumption will be necessarily influenced by the urban & rural binary structure and regional gradient development pattern from east to west of the economy,and the differences of consume habit formation of different type and areal themselves can proclaim some important facts of policy.Based on Dynan’s theory,on the one hand,we use the state space model to solve the parameters of habit formation at different time points,the results show that there are significant differences on consume habit formation between residents in urban and rural;on the other hand,we use the panel data model to solve the parameters of habit formation of east,middle and western area,the results also show that there are regional differences.This article demonstrates that the level of economy development,current and expected income,as well as the marketization are all correlated with consume habit formation.