首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     


On testing for independence between the innovations of several time series
Authors:Pierre Duchesne  Kilani Ghoudi  Bruno Rémillard
Affiliation:1. Département de Mathématiques et de Statistique, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Canada;2. Department of Statistics, College of Business and Economics, United Arab Emirates University, Al Ain, United Arab Emirates;3. Service de l'Enseignement des Méthodes Quantitatives de Gestion, HEC Montréal, Montréal, Canada
Abstract:Test statistics for checking the independence between the innovations of several time series are developed. The time series models considered allow for general specifications for the conditional mean and variance functions that could depend on common explanatory variables. In testing for independence between more than two time series, checking pairwise independence does not lead to consistent procedures. Thus a finite family of empirical processes relying on multivariate lagged residuals are constructed, and we derive their asymptotic distributions. In order to obtain simple asymptotic covariance structures, Möbius transformations of the empirical processes are studied, and simplifications occur. Under the null hypothesis of independence, we show that these transformed processes are asymptotically Gaussian, independent, and with tractable covariance functions not depending on the estimated parameters. Various procedures are discussed, including Cramér–von Mises test statistics and tests based on non‐parametric measures. The ranks of the residuals are considered in the new methods, giving test statistics which are asymptotically margin‐free. Generalized cross‐correlations are introduced, extending the concept of cross‐correlation to an arbitrary number of time series; portmanteau procedures based on them are discussed. In order to detect the dependence visually, graphical devices are proposed. Simulations are conducted to explore the finite sample properties of the methodology, which is found to be powerful against various types of alternatives when the independence is tested between two and three time series. An application is considered, using the daily log‐returns of Apple, Intel and Hewlett‐Packard traded on the Nasdaq financial market. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 40: 447–479; 2012 © 2012 Statistical Society of Canada
Keywords:Copula  Cramé  r–  von Mises test statistic  cross‐correlation  independence  Kolmogorov–  Smirnov test statistic  multivariate lag  rank‐based test statistic  time series  MSC 2010: Primary 60F05  secondary 62M10
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号