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OECD国家能源消费、经济增长与碳排放关系研究
引用本文:胡彩梅,韦福雷.OECD国家能源消费、经济增长与碳排放关系研究[J].统计与信息论坛,2011,26(4):64-71.
作者姓名:胡彩梅  韦福雷
作者单位:黑龙江科技学院经济管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨,150027
基金项目:黑龙江省教育厅人文社会科学研究项目
摘    要:基于面板数据模型,分析1971--2006年间28个OECD国家能源消费、经济增长和碳排放之间的关系,再根据面板数据的单位根检验和协整性检验,确定三者之间存在长期的均衡关系。通过固定影响变系数模型的估计发现:碳排放与能源消费呈显著的正相关关系,各国碳排放的能源消费弹性系数存在明显的差异;从长期看,部分国家碳排放与GDP的关系呈现倒“U”形,部分国家呈“U”形。

关 键 词:能源消费  经济增长  碳排放  固定影响变系数模型

Analysis on the Relationship between Energy Consumption, Economic Growth and Carbon Emissions for OECD countries——An Empirical Study Based on Panel Data
HU Caimei,WEI Fulei.Analysis on the Relationship between Energy Consumption, Economic Growth and Carbon Emissions for OECD countries——An Empirical Study Based on Panel Data[J].Statistics & Information Tribune,2011,26(4):64-71.
Authors:HU Caimei  WEI Fulei
Institution:(College of Economics and Management,Heilongjiang Institute of Science and Technology,Harbin 150027,China)
Abstract:This paper analyzes the relationship between energy consumption,economic growth and carbon emissions for 28 OECD countries from 1971 to 2006 based on panel data model.Through panel panel unit root test and panel cointegration test,it finds that there are long-run relationships between these variables.Fixed effects varying coefficients model shows that an increasing in energy consumption by 1% results in an increase of 0.88% in carbon emissions.In long-run the relationship between real GDP and carbon emissions in some countries exhibits the inverted U-shape pattern;in the other countries exhibits U-shape pattern.
Keywords:energy consumption  economic growth  carbon emissions  fixed effects varying coefficients model
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