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农村金融规模、结构、效率与经济增长关系的实证分析
引用本文:张丽娜,王静.农村金融规模、结构、效率与经济增长关系的实证分析[J].西北农林科技大学学报,2014,14(2):53-59.
作者姓名:张丽娜  王静
作者单位:[1]西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西杨凌712100 [2]长安国际信托股份有限公司,西安710075
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(71373207);教育部人文社科基金项目(OgYJAVH074);教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目(NCET11-0443)
摘    要:从农村金融规模、结构和效率三个维度分析农村金融发展对农村经济的影响,得出结论:影响金融发展的各个因素都能促进经济的增长。采用误差修正模型、格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应函数,对我国农村经济增长与农村金融规模、结构、效率之间的实证分析,得出农村金融发展对农村经济增长的影响在长期中处于一种稳定的均衡状态,农村金融发展在短期内可以起到自我误差修正的作用。农村金融发展的三个因素受到政策或信息的改变时对农村经济的影响都是正向冲击。从格兰杰因果检验看来,农村金融发展受到农村经济增长的影响,金融发展处于一种“需求遵从”的地位。

关 键 词:农村金融  农村经济  金融市场  格兰杰因果检验

Empirical Analysis of Relationship Between Rural Financial Scale, Structure,Efficiency of and Economic Growth in China
ZHANG Li-na and WANG Jing.Empirical Analysis of Relationship Between Rural Financial Scale, Structure,Efficiency of and Economic Growth in China[J].Journal of Northwest Sci-Tech University of Agriculture and Forestry(Social Science),2014,14(2):53-59.
Authors:ZHANG Li-na and WANG Jing
Institution:1 College of Economics and Management, Northzvest AF University ,Yangling ,Shaanxi 712100; 2. Chang An International Trust CO. ,LTD,Xi'an 710075,China)
Abstract:Analysis is made of the impact of rural finance from three dimensions of its scale, structure and effieieney on China's rural economy and is concluded as follows., various factors affecting financial development can promote rural economic growth. By using error correction model, Granger causality test and impulse response function, the relationship between rural economic growth and rural financial scale, structure and efficiency is also studied, and the results show that the impact of rural financial development on rural economic growth maintains a stable equilibrium in a the long term, while rural financial development can play a role of self-error correction in the short term. Rural economy is positively affected by rural finance when its three factors are changed by policy or in- formation. It seems, from the Granger causality test, rural financial development is affected by the existence of ru- ral economic growth and in a "demand compliance"status.
Keywords:rural finance development  rural economic growth  empirical test
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