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Asymptotics of the weighted least squares estimation for AR(1) processes with applications to confidence intervals
Authors:Ruidong Han  Xinghui Wang  Shuhe Hu
Affiliation:1.School of Economics,Anhui University,Hefei,People’s Republic of China;2.School of Mathematical Science,Anhui University,Hefei,People’s Republic of China
Abstract:For the first-order autoregressive model, we establish the asymptotic theory of the weighted least squares estimations whether the underlying autoregressive process is stationary, unit root, near integrated or even explosive under a weaker moment condition of innovations. The asymptotic limit of this estimator is always normal. It is shown that the empirical log-likelihood ratio at the true parameter converges to the standard chi-square distribution. An empirical likelihood confidence interval is proposed for interval estimations of the autoregressive coefficient. The results improve the corresponding ones of Chan et al. (Econ Theory 28:705–717, 2012). Some simulations are conducted to illustrate the proposed method.
Keywords:
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