| 中国最优利率规则探讨 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 谢戟,高杭,赵新泉.中国最优利率规则探讨[J].重庆大学学报(社会科学版),2016,22(2):60-66. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 谢戟 高杭 赵新泉 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1. 华中农业大学理学院,湖北武汉,430073;2. 上海交通大学电子信息与电气工程学院,上海,200240;3. 中南财经政法大学统计与数学学院,湖北武汉,430070 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 文章构造了一个开放经济下的混合型AD-AS模型,并根据中国2002年至2013年的统计数据对其进行了估计,分析和比较了三种目标制下的最优货币政策,以利率为政策工具,利用动态最优化方法求出了中国的最优利率规则.通过计算与分析,得到如下结论:利率平滑目标制下的货币规则更适合中国,长期而言,该规则能有效控制产出缺口和通货膨胀,并且保持利率变化的平稳,具有良好的可行性和操作性,有助于中国宏观经济和社会的稳定.
|
| 关 键 词： | 最优货币政策 AD-AS模型 通货膨胀 利率规则 |
| 收稿时间： | 1/5/2016 12:00:00 AM |
Research on optimal interest rate rule in China |
| |
| XIE Ji,GAO Hang and ZHAO Xinquan.Research on optimal interest rate rule in China[J].Journal of Chongqing University(Social Sciences Edition),2016,22(2):60-66. |
| |
| Authors: | XIE Ji GAO Hang and ZHAO Xinquan |
| |
| Institution: | College of Science, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430073, P.R.China,School of Electronic Information and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, P.R.China and School of Statistics and Mathematics, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan 430070, P.R.China |
| |
| Abstract: | This paper structures and estimates an open economy mixed AD-AS model based on statistics from 2002 to 2013 in China, analyzes and compares the optimal monetary policies among three targets, taking interest as policy instrument, deduces the optimal interest rate rule in China with dynamic optimization method.As a result of analysis and calculation, we get the following conclusion: The optimal monetary policy of interest rate smoothing target is more propitious to China, the corresponding optimal interest rate rule could effectively control both of output gap and inflation in the long term, and possess well both of feasibility and operability, this rule could contribute to stabilization of macro economy and society in China. |
| |
| Keywords: | optimal monetary policy AD-AS model inflation interest rate rule |
| 本文献已被 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《重庆大学学报(社会科学版)》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《重庆大学学报(社会科学版)》下载免费的PDF全文 |
|
