中国城镇化对服务业影响的区域差异——基于系统GMM模型的实证研究

目前中国服务业的发展离不开城镇化这一现实背景.文章选取2005-2015年省际面板数据,运用动态面板模型系统广义矩估计(SGMM)方法分别就城镇化对全国服务业发展的影响及其区域差异所做的实证研究结果表明:在全国层面上,城镇化水平对服务业发展有较显著的促进作用,但促进作用还比较小;在区域层面上,东部、中部、西部三大区域城镇化对服务业发展的影响也较小,且存在较明显的地区差异.基于研究结果,文章提出了从战略高度上重视加快新型城镇化进程以促进中国服务业更好发展,同时根据各区域的实际情况制定适宜的以城镇化促进服务业发展的政策措施等相关建议.

Regional difference of the impact of urbanization on service industry in China: An empirical study based on system GMM model

The development of China''s service industry is inseparable from the realistic background of urbanization currently.Choosing the panel data of twenty-six provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities of China from 2005 to 2015,this paper makes an empirical study on the impact of urbanization on the development of service industry and its regional difference separately by using dynamic panel model of system GMM estimation method.The result of study shows that urbanization has a significantly positive impact on the service industry at the national level,while the promoting impact is still small; the impact of urbanization of the east,middle and west of China on the service industry are also small and significantly different at the regional level.Based on the results of empirical study,this paper puts forward relevant suggestions that accelerating the process of a new type of urbanization should be attached importance to at a strategic level for the better development of China''s service industry and appropriate policies and measures to promote the development of service industry with urbanization should be formulated according to the actual situation of each region.