河北省职业教育发展与产业结构关系的实证研究

职业教育与区域产业之间存在着相互影响的关系。基于河北省2000—2017年的时间序列数据,利用Eviews8.0软件分析工具,运用格兰杰因果关系检验方法对河北省职业教育发展规模与其三大产业发展水平之间的关系进行了检验。其结果表明:河北省职业教育发展规模影响第二产业发展水平;河北省职业教育对产业结构优化升级贡献不足;河北省职业教育与三大产业发展之间尚未形成良性互动机制。因此,必须进行职业教育供给侧结构性改革,构建河北省职业教育与区域经济协调发展机制:一是加强顶层设计,完善职业教育与区域经济产业协调发展的体制机制;二要优化专业结构,适应并引领河北省经济产业发展;三要深化内涵发展,提高职业教育人才培养质量。

An Empirical Study on the Relationship between the Development of Vocational Education and Industrial Structure in Hebei Province

There is an interactive relationship between vocational education and regional industry.Based on the time series data of Hebei province from 2000 to 2017,this paper uses Eviews8.0 software analysis tool and Granger causality test method to test the relationship between the development scale of vocational education and the development level of the three major industries in Hebei Province.The results show that the development scale of vocational education affects the development level of secondary industry in Hebei province.Hebei vocational education makes insufficient contribution to the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure;there is no positive interaction mechanism between vocational education and the development of the three industries in Hebei province.Therefore,it is necessary to carry out the supply-side structural reform of vocational education and construct the coordinated development mechanism of vocational education and regional economy in Hebei Province.Second,we should optimize the professional structure,adapt to and lead the economic and industrial development of Hebei Province.Third,we should deepen the development of vocational education and improve the quality of personnel training.