中国大城市人口聚集对产业发展的影响——基于2000年以来副省级及以上城市产业生产函数的实证

大城市在区域乃至全国经济发展中起着至关重要的作用，为了廓清大城市产业发展与人口集聚之间的关系，以中国直辖市以及部分副省级城市为研究蓝本，利用面板数据模型，引入人口密度、流动人口比重等变量，构建16个大城市二三次产业生产函数，定量分析大城市发展中人口聚集对产业发展和转型升级的长期促进作用和劳动力在二三次产业发展中的贡献。结果证明大城市人口集聚、人口流入对于产业发展和产业结构转型升级具有显著性作用，在大城市产业发展中劳动力的贡献随着时间的推移逐步提高。同时，产业的持续快速发展对于提升人口素质、引导人口知识结构变化起到正向促进作用。

The Analysis on the Impact of Population Accumulationin Metropolitan Cities on the Industrial Development --On the Basis of Evidence about the Sub provincial or Provincial

Metropolitan cities are playing a rather crucial role in the partial or national development.The essay takes the municipalities directly under the central government and some sub provincial cities as examples to demonstrate the relationship between industrial development and population accumulation.It uses the panel statistics model and introduces the variables relating to population density and floating population proportion.Besides,it establishes the second and third production functions of 16 metropolitan cities and explores the durable stimulus of the population accumulation to industrial development and its updating.It further discusses the contribution labor force have made during the second and third industrial development.It turns out,population accumulation and its floating carry important implications for the industrial development and transformation.So does the labor force.Similarly,the sustainably rapid development of industry contributes significantly to the improvement of population quality and the change of their intellectual structure.