| 房地产上市公司财务预警实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵息,王丽娟,肖铮.房地产上市公司财务预警实证研究[J].西南交通大学学报(社会科学版),2007,8(6):98-102. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵息 王丽娟 肖铮 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津大学,管理学院,天津,300072 |
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| 摘 要： | 房地产业已成为我国重要的支柱产业,因此,建立房地产上市公司财务预警方法对政府、投资商、中介公司和广大消费者都具有重要意义。以主成分分析和逻辑回归分析为基础建立分析模型,并用该模型对2002~2005年沪、深两市45家房地产业上市公司进行实证分析,发现模型对房地产上市公司前两年和前四年的财务预警有较高的可信度。
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| 关 键 词： | 房地产公司 上市公司 财务危机 财务预警 主成分分析 逻辑回归分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1009-4474(2007)06-0098-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年9月25日 |
An Empirical Study on Financial Early-warning of Listed Real Estate Corporations |
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| ZHAO Xi,WANG Li-juan,XIAO Zheng.An Empirical Study on Financial Early-warning of Listed Real Estate Corporations[J].Journal of Southwest Jiaotong Universit(Social Science Edition),2007,8(6):98-102. |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Xi WANG Li-juan XIAO Zheng |
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| Abstract: | Real estate industry is one of the pillar industries in China and thus the financial early-warning system is of great importance for the government,investors,intermediary services and consumers in general.An analysis model is established on the basis of principal components analysis and logistic regression analysis.An empirical study was conducted to analyze 45 real estate corporations listed in either Shanghai or Shenzhen Stock Exchange and the results confirm the effectiveness of the model. |
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| Keywords: | real estate corporation listed corporation financial crisis financial early-warning principal components analysis logistic regression analysis |
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