加入WTO 前后我国水产品出口变化及 其影响因素的实证分析

文章首先对加入WTO前后(1998~2005)我国水产品出口变化特点进行总结;然后运用CMS模型分析加入WTO出口贸易变化的原因。结果表明,长期以来出口竞争力在我国水产品出口增加中起决定性作用,并在加入WTO后,呈进一步加强态势;出口市场分布效应对我国水产品出口的作用在减弱,甚至已经开始抑制水产品出口;世界市场需求的增长在一定程度上推动了我国水产品出口。最后提出了相应的政策建议。

Change and Factors Affecting China' s Aquatic Product Export : Before and After Entering into the WTO

This paper first makes an account of the export characteristics of China's aquatic product before and after entering into WTO (1998-2005). Then it analyses the causes of the changes using the CMS model. The results show that that export competitiveness is the most important factor in China's aquatic product export increase, especially after entering into WTO .And market distribution effect is on the wane and has begun restraining the export. At the same time, the increasing world market demand stimulates China's export. Relevant policy proposals are made.