21世纪上半叶美国经济走势预测

纵观21世纪初世界政治格局与世界经济格局的变化,总的来说是:美国经济将迎来大发展时期。主要依据是:1.单极(美国)主导下的多层次相互依存的世界秩序,为美国经济大发展提供了良好的国际政治环境;2.美国主导世界经济发展的世界经济格局,为美国经济大发展提供了极佳的经济环境;3.美国经济长久不衰之因依然存在;4.第五个经济长周期的上升面正在运行中,美国处于其先导和中心。

Prediction of the Development Trend of American Economy in the 1st Half of the 21st Century

According to changes of world political and economic pattern at the beginning of the 21st century,American economy will step into a period of great development. The main reasons are: 1. The world order, which is multi-level interdependent single polar (American)-oriented, provides a good international political environment for the great development of American economy; 2. The world economic pattern, which is American-oriented, provides a good international economic environment for the great development of American economy as well; 3. The reasons for the ever-developing American economy still exist; 4. The rising phase of the 5th long economic cycle is operating now and the U.S. is both the leading force and the center of it.