辽宁省GDP两大要素比例关系变化的实证研究

三大需求要素(最终消费、资本形成总额、货物和服务净出口)各增量之和即为当年GDP总增量.需求要素中最终消费、资本形成总额的数量、结构增长率及其相关性,在很大程度上决定了经济运行的质量及经济增长的数量和速度.利用1990-2002年的辽宁省统计数据、标准的宏观经济学分析框架及可比较的相关数据,就辽宁GDP中的投资与消费要素的比例关系与相关性作了实证研究与相关性分析.研究表明辽宁省投资与消费要素之间及其内部存在着结构不合理、互相制约等问题.

On the Proportional Relation Between Demand-influencing Factors on Liaoning's GDP

The gross annual GDP increment is measured by the aggregate increment of three demand-influencing factors, i.e., final consumption, total of capital formation and net goods/service exports, where the first two and the structural growth rate and the correlation among them determine the quality of economic movement and the quantity and rate of economic growth to a great extent. Utilizing the 1990-2002 economic statistics on Liaoning Province, standard frame for macro-economic analysis and other correlated comparable data, an analysis is made to the proportion and correlativity of investment to consumption in Liaoning's GDP. Some unreasonable and interacting problems are therefore found not only in between investment and consumption but in each of them in the province.