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基于HM—FF3模型的社保基金选股择时能力分析
引用本文:唐运舒,陈雨虹.基于HM—FF3模型的社保基金选股择时能力分析[J].合肥工业大学学报(社会科学版),2014(3):8-13.
作者姓名:唐运舒  陈雨虹
作者单位:合肥工业大学管理学院,合肥230009
基金项目:安徽省自然科学基金项目(1408085MG139);教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目(10YJCZH140)
摘    要:文章运用HM—FF3模型研究了社保基金投资管理人近五年的择时、选股能力及其变化。研究结果表明我国社会保障基金具有显著的选股能力,但择时能力并不明显,研究结论不支持社保基金通过提前获得内幕消息获取超额收益的猜测。

关 键 词:社会保障基金  选股能力  择时能力  HM—FF3模型

Analysis of Selection and Timing Abilities of Social Security Fund Based on HM-FF3 Model
TANG Yun-shu,CHEN Yu-hong.Analysis of Selection and Timing Abilities of Social Security Fund Based on HM-FF3 Model[J].Journal of Hefei University of Technology(Social Sciences),2014(3):8-13.
Authors:TANG Yun-shu  CHEN Yu-hong
Institution:(School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China)
Abstract:This paper studies the National Social Security Fund manager's market timing and stock selection abilities in the previous five years by using the HM-FF3 model. The results show that the National ,Social Security Fund has a prominent ability of stock selection, but the market timing ability is not obvious. The study result does not support the supposition that the National Social Security Fund has obtained excess returns by obtaining inside information in advance.
Keywords:National Social Security Fund  stock selection ability  market timing ability  HM-FF3 model
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