我国民间需求为何启而不动

面对有效需求不足和通货紧缩的严峻局面 ,从 1997年起我国政府先后采取了一系列松动的货币政策和扩张性的财政政策来刺激总需求 ,取得了一定的成效 ,但是民间需求仍然启而不动。经济主体的预期及其反应是影响经济政策运用效果的最直接因素 ,而追根溯源 ,制度又是预期的主要决定因素。因此 ,只有从根本上完善相关制度 ,改善宏观经济运行的大环境 ,才能稳定公众预期 ,使宏观经济政策发挥其应有作用。

Why the Civilian Demands in our Country Started but not Worked

Confronted with the austere situation of effective demands scarcity and deflation, our government has adopted a series of loose monetary policy and expansionary finance policy since the year of 1997, and has attained some achievement, but the civilian demands were started yet not worked well. This paper analyzes this question, and points out that the expectation and reaction of the economics body is the most direct factor which affects the exertion of economics policy. Furthermore, institution is the main determinant of expectation. So only if we perfect according institutions radically, can the macroeconomics environment be improved, can the expectations of the pubic be stabilized, can the macroeconomics policy exerted well.