基于增长核算分析的中国经济增长来源研究

应用新经济增长理论的增长核算分析框架,研究中国改革开放以来,物质资本、人力资本和全要素生产率（TFP）对经济增长的贡献,以及产权结构、对外开放等制度变迁对TFP的影响。研究发现,改革开来以来,全要素生产率的增长是经济增长的主要推动力,其次是物质资本存量的贡献,而人力资本对经济增长的贡献最低,并且逐期下降。实证分析也表明,由于中国正处于经济转型期,用＂索洛剩余＂衡量的TFP的增长不能简单地理解为技术进步;所有制结构和对外开放等制度变迁是推动中国TFP增长和经济增长的十分重要的两个因素。

AStudy of China's Economic Growth Based on Growth Accounting Analysis

In this paper,growth accounting analytical framework of the theory of neoeconomic growth is applied to study the contribution of physical capital,human capital and total factor productivity(TFP) to China's economic growth since Reform and Opening-up,as well as the effects on TFP of the changes in the structure of property rights and opening-up institutions.It is found that,since Reform and Opening-up,total factor productivity growth is the main driving force for economic growth,followed by the contribution ...