数字经济对农业经济韧性的影响效应与作用机制

在测度农业经济韧性水平的基础上,利用2011—2020年中国省际面板数据分析数字经济对农业经济韧性的影响效应与作用机制。结果表明:数字经济对农业经济韧性增强有显著的促进作用,且该结论在一系列稳健性检验后仍然成立;空间分析发现,数字经济对农业经济韧性的促进作用存在正向空间溢出效应;机制分析表明,产业结构优化(涉及产业结构高级化、产业结构合理化两个方面)是数字经济促进农业经济韧性提升的重要渠道;数字经济对农业经济韧性的影响还存在异质性,东部地区和低城镇化率省份农业经济韧性的数字经济促进效应更为显著。

Effect and Mechanism of Digital Economy on the Resilience of Agricultural Economy

On the basis of measuring the resilience level of agricultural economy, this paper analyzes the effect and mechanism of digital economy on the resilience of agricultural economy using panel data of cities and autonomous regions in China from 2011 to 2020. The results show that digital economy can significantly promote the resilience of agricultural economy, and the conclusion is still valid after a series of robustness tests. The spatial analysis shows that digital economy has a positive spatial spillover effect on the resilience of agricultural economy. Analysis shows that industrial structure optimization (involving industrial structure upgrading, industrial structure rationalization) is an important channel for digital economy to promote the resilience of agricultural economy; The impact of digital economy on the resilience of agricultural economy is still heterogeneous, and the promoting effect of digital economy on the resilience of agricultural economy is more significant in eastern regions and provinces with low urbanization rate.