欠发达省域农民工持续就业稳定性及影响因素——基于广西壮族自治区639份问卷调查数据

基于广西壮族自治区639份调查数据,以农民工就业的持续时间长短为观察变量,建立Cox比例风险模型,对欠发达省域农民工持续就业的稳定性影响因素进行实证分析。结果表明:年龄、婚姻状况及受教育年限对农民工退出城市劳动力市场的影响显著。农民工年龄每增加1岁,退出城市劳动力市场风险减少5.6%;已婚农民工较未婚农民工退出风险减少40.2%;受教育年限对农民工退出城市劳动力市场具有极显著的负影响,受教育年限每延长1年,退出风险降低17.8%。农民工的工作收入以及工作环境影响显著,人均纯收入越高,自评劳动强度越"小",自评技术能力越"好",与工作单位签订就业合同、购买社会保险、接受劳动培训的机会越多,退出风险越低。

Continuous employment stability of migrant workers and its influencing factors in the less developed provinces： Based on the survey data of 639 questionnaires in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region

Based on the survey data of 639 questionnaires in the less developed western area of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, with the duration of migrant workers＇ employment as an observable variable, this paper empirically analyses the influencing factors of the continuous employment stability of the migrant workers with Cox proportional hazards model. The results indicate that the independent variables including age, marital status, education level had significant impact on migrant workers＇ withdrawing from urban labor market, and the withdraw risk would decrease by 5.6 percent with the migrant workers getting one year older, and the withdraw risk for married workers was 40.2% less than those unmarried, 17.8 percent lower with one more year education; migrant workers＇ income and working environment had significant effect, the factors including the per capita net income, self-evaluated intensity of labor, self-evaluated level of skill, whether signed a contract of employment, whether purchased social insurance and whether trained for work had impact on the stability of migrant workers.