| 洞庭湖区农业总产值影响因素的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 廖翼,周发明.洞庭湖区农业总产值影响因素的实证分析[J].湖南农业大学学报(社会科学版),2011,12(2):23-27,46. |
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| 作者姓名： | 廖翼 周发明 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 湖南农业大学经济学院,湖南长沙,410128
2. 湖南农业大学经济学院,湖南长沙410128;湖南人文科技学院,湖南娄底417000 |
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| 摘 要： | 洞庭湖区是湖南省重要的粮食、棉花、油料和水产品生产基地，其农业在洞庭湖整个区域经济发展乃至全省经济发展中扮演着重要的角色。以农业机械总动力、农作物播种面积、机耕面积和化肥施用量4个变量构建多元线性回归模型，实证分析1986--2008年洞庭湖区农业总产值的影响因素，结果表明：农业机械总动力、机耕面积和化肥施用量每增加1％，农业总产值将分别上升1.17％、0．83％和0．40％，农作物播种面积对湖区农业生产的影响不显著。
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| 关 键 词： | 农业总产值 影响因素 农业机械总动力 机耕面积 化肥施用量 洞庭湖区 |
Factors influencing total agricultural output value of Dongting Lake region |
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| LIAO Yi,ZHOU Fa-ming.Factors influencing total agricultural output value of Dongting Lake region[J].Journal of Hunan Agricultural University(Social Science),2011,12(2):23-27,46. |
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| Authors: | LIAO Yi ZHOU Fa-ming |
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| Institution: | 1.College of Economics, Hunan Agricultural University, Changsha 410128, China; 2.Hunan Institute of Humanities, Science and Technology, Loudi 417000, China) |
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| Abstract: | Dongting Lake region is a very important production base of grain, cotton, plants oil and aquatic products in Hunan province. Its agricultural development has a direct impact on the overall economic development of Hunan province This paper builds a multivariate regression equation to analyze the factors influencing Dongting Lake region＇s agricultural development from 1986 to 2008, such as total power of agricultural machinery, sown area of crops, tractor-ploughing area and amount of fertilizer applied. The result shows that, with one percent increase of total power of agricultural machinery, tractor-ploughing area and amount of fertilizer applied, the total agricultural output value of Dongting lake region will rise 1.17, 0.83 and 0.40 percent respectively, while sown area of crops makes insignificant impact on it. |
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| Keywords: | total agricultural output value influencing factors total power of agricultural machinery tractor-ploughing area amount of fertilizer applied Dongting Lake region |
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