工业制成品出口对环境污染的TKC检验与对策

中国对外贸易规模不断扩大，出口贸易实力逐渐增强。随着生活水平的提高，人们对环境质量的要求也逐渐增高，而我国工业制成品造成的环境污染非常严重，贸易与环境污染之间的矛盾凸显。选取1990—2008年的工业制成品出口贸易数据以及环境污染数据，把EKC理论应用到国际贸易与环境的研究中，通过建立CUBIC模型，验证我国EKC曲线的形状，在此基础上把出口贸易变量加入CUBIC模型中，运用TKC检验分析工业制成品出口贸易依存度对环境的影响，最后提出对外贸易与环境协调发展的政策建议。

TKC test and countermeasures of export of manufactured goods on environmental pollution

The foreign trade scale expands continuously in China,and the export trade strength is increasing gradually.With the improvement of living standards,the demand of environmental quality of people is gradually increasing.But the environmental pollution caused by manufactured goods is very serious in China,and the contradiction between trade and environmental pollution is highlighted.The data of export of manufactured goods and environmental pollution are selected from 1990 to 2008,and the EKC theory is applied to the research of international trade and environment.Through the establishment of CUBIC model,the shape of EKC curve in China is validated.Export trade variables are then added to the CUBIC model.The influence of dependence degree of export trade of manufactured goods on environment is analyzed by applying TKC test.Policy suggestions are proposed on coordinated development of foreign trade and the environment.