| 辽宁省人口转变效应分析——基于人口红利理论的研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈晶,朱天星.辽宁省人口转变效应分析——基于人口红利理论的研究[J].沈阳工业大学学报（社会科学版）,2011,4(4):338-344. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈晶 朱天星 |
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| 作者单位： | 沈阳工业大学 经济学院， 沈阳 110870 |
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| 基金项目： | 辽宁省社会科学界联合会课题(2010lslktjjx-91) |
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| 摘 要： | 近年来，人口年龄结构变化对经济发展的影响成为理论界关注的热点问题。根据人口红利理论，使用辽宁省相关数据，对人口转变引起的产出效应、消费效应和储蓄效应进行分析，结果表明，辽宁省人口年龄结构的变化对经济发展产生了重要影响，辽宁省居民消费与人口抚养比之间存在长期协整关系，人口出生率的下降是引起辽宁省储蓄率上升的主要原因。
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| 关 键 词： | 人口转变 人口年龄结构 人口红利理论 产出效应 消费效应 储蓄效应 协整分析 |
Analysis on effects of population transformation in Liaoning Province:based on demographic dividend theory |
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| CHEN Jing,ZHU Tian-xing.Analysis on effects of population transformation in Liaoning Province:based on demographic dividend theory[J].Journal of Shenyang University of Technology(Social Science Edition),2011,4(4):338-344. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Jing ZHU Tian-xing |
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| Institution: | School of Economics, Shenyang University of Technology, Shenyang 110870, China |
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| Abstract: | In recent years,the influence of change of age structure of population on economic development has been a hot topic in academic field.According to demographic dividend theory,the effects of output,consumption and saving brought by population transformation are analyzed using the relative data in Liaoning Province.It is concluded that the change of age structure of population of Liaoning Province has important influence on its economic development,there is a longtime cointergrated relationship between reside... |
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| Keywords: | population transformation age structure of population demographic dividend theory output effect consumption effect saving effect cointergration analysis |
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