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对外贸易与经济增长的实证研究——基于江苏和湖南的比较
引用本文:贺文华.对外贸易与经济增长的实证研究——基于江苏和湖南的比较[J].重庆交通学院学报(社会科学版),2007(5):41-46.
作者姓名:贺文华
作者单位:邵阳学院经济与管理系 湖南邵阳422000
摘    要:选取江苏和湖南两省作为研究对象,利用1981—2005年的出口总额、进口总额和地区生产总值等统计数据,在单位根检验和协整检验的基础上建立了误差修正模型.并进行相关的格兰杰因果检验.揭示了江苏和湖南两省的对外贸易与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的关系和短期动态关系。

关 键 词:经济增长  格兰杰因果检验  误差修正模型

An Empirical Analysis of Foreign Trade and Economic Growth Based on the Comparison of Jiangsu and Hunan
HE Wen-hua.An Empirical Analysis of Foreign Trade and Economic Growth Based on the Comparison of Jiangsu and Hunan[J].Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Social Sciences Edition),2007(5):41-46.
Authors:HE Wen-hua
Institution:HE Wen-hua (Department Economics and Managment, Shaoyang College, Shaoyang, Hunan 422000,China)
Abstract:Jiangsu and Hunan are taken as the research objects By using Jiangsu and Hunan's statistic data of EXP,IMP,and GDP collected between 1981and 2005,Error Correction Model is developed on the basis of unit root and co-integration test and long-term and short-berm dynamic relations between Jiangsu and Hunan's foreign trade and economic growth are proposed.
Keywords:economic growth  Granger test  ECM
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