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基于多元时间序列相似性度量的协调发展模型
引用本文:管河山,刘玎玎①.基于多元时间序列相似性度量的协调发展模型[J].南华大学学报(社会科学版),2012,13(6):44-46.
作者姓名:管河山  刘玎玎①
作者单位:南华大学经济管理学院,湖南衡阳,421001
基金项目:湖南省哲学社会科学基金项目“核能产业发展对区域经济协调发展的影响机制研究”资助,湖南省教育厅项目“时间序列自动建模机制研究及其在金融决策中的应用”资助
摘    要:针对区域经济和能源产业之间发展的协调度,选取具有代表性的指标来刻画经济系统和能源系统的发展现状,用夹角余弦相似性度量方式来刻画两个子系统之间的协调度,构建了基于多元时间序列相似性度量的协调度函数,并建立一个动态的协调度发展模型。该模型由指标选取、数据标准化和协调度函数三部分组成。同时,就湖南省的区域经济和能源产业协调发展进行了实证分析,提出相应的协调发展建议。

关 键 词:协调度  时间序列  相似性度量  湖南省
收稿时间:2012/11/6 0:00:00

Coordinated Development Model Based on the Similarity Measure of Multivariate Time Series
GUAN He-shan,LIU Ding-ding.Coordinated Development Model Based on the Similarity Measure of Multivariate Time Series[J].Journal of Nanhua University(Social Science Edition),2012,13(6):44-46.
Authors:GUAN He-shan  LIU Ding-ding
Institution:(University of South China,Hengyang 421001,China)
Abstract:This paper puts more attention to the coordinate relationship between regional economy and energy industry. Firstly, we select a set of representative indexes to analyze the station of economic system and energy system ; secondly, we use the cosine function to measure the coordinated degree ; finally, we build a similarity function and a dynamic development model of coordinated development, which is based on the multivariate time series similarity measure. The coordinated development model we present consists of index selection, data standardization and coordinated function. An empirical analysis between regional economy and energy industry has been done for Hunan province, and some useful suggestions have been presented.
Keywords:coordinated degree  time series  similarity measure  Hunan province
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