| 房地产价格影响因素分析:基于中国各省市的面板数据的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 董志勇,官皓,明艳.房地产价格影响因素分析:基于中国各省市的面板数据的实证研究[J].中国地质大学学报(社会科学版),2010,10(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 董志勇 官皓 明艳 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 北京大学,经济学院,北京100871
2. 首都师范大学,政法学院,北京100089 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文应用1999-2006年全国31个省市的面板数据,分析了影响中国房地产价格的各种因素。影响房价的因素众多,笔者主要选取了供给方、需求方、地方政府以及一些主要的货币政策变量进行理论分析,并结合中国房地产的实际提出相应假说。实证结果显示,房价推动力的主要来源是需求方,而地方政府对房价的影响也不可忽视,而供给方和货币政策的相关变量对房价影响相对较小,其中名义利率对房价不具有显著影响,而实际利率影响较显著。依据笔者的实证结论,本文提供了一些相应的对房价调控的政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 房地产价格 面板数据 地方政府 |
Factor Analysis on China's Real Estate Price:An Empirical Research of Panel Data |
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| DONG Zhi-yong,GUAN Hao,MING Yan.Factor Analysis on China''s Real Estate Price:An Empirical Research of Panel Data[J].Journal of China University of Geosciences(Social Sciences Edition),2010,10(2). |
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| Authors: | DONG Zhi-yong GUAN Hao MING Yan |
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| Institution: | 1.School of Economics;Peking University;Beijing 100871;China;2.School of Policy and Law;Capital Normal University;Beijing 100089;China |
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| Abstract: | This paper conducted a factor analysis on China's real estate price using panel data of 31 provinces during 1999-2006.After the theoretical analyses of factors of supply,demand,local governments,as well as monetary policy,several hypotheses are proposed.The empirical results show that demand-side factors are major impetuses to housing prices,and local governments' policies cannot be neglected.In contrast,supply-side factors have little influence.As for monetary policy-related variables,nominal interest rate... |
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| Keywords: | real estate price panel data local government |
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