| 对我国社会和谐稳定度的实证研究与模拟预警 |
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| 引用本文： | 阎耀军,雷鸣.对我国社会和谐稳定度的实证研究与模拟预警[J].中南民族大学学报(人文社会科学版),2006,26(3):131-134. |
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| 作者姓名： | 阎耀军 雷鸣 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津市社会科学院,社会学研究所,天津,300191 |
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| 摘 要： | 社会预警指标体系作为社会预警的重要手段,目前已有十数种之多,但鲜有实际应用者。本文主要依据最新提出的一种社会预警指标体系,在调查大量历史数据的基础上,对我国1985至2002年社会和谐稳定状况进行了实际测评,从中不但揭示出了我国社会和谐稳定历年波动的情况,而且使这套指标体系的科学性得到了某种程度的验证。
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| 关 键 词： | 社会和谐稳定度 指标体系 评估 社会预警 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-433X(2006)03-0131-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年12月18 |
Empirical Research into and Simulated Alarming of the Level of Social Harmony and Stability of China's |
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| YAN Yao-jun,LEI Ming.Empirical Research into and Simulated Alarming of the Level of Social Harmony and Stability of China''''s[J].Journal of South-Central University for Nationalities:Humanities and Social Science,2006,26(3):131-134. |
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| Authors: | YAN Yao-jun LEI Ming |
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| Abstract: | At present there are more than 10 kinds of social alarming index systems,important measures for social alarming.However,these systems were seldom used in a practical way.In this paper,the state of social harmony and stability in China from 1985 to 2002 was examined practically,based on a newly proposed social alarming index system and a large amount of historical data,which not only demonstrates the fluctuations in the social harmony and stability of China during that period of time,but also validates the scientificity of this index system to some extent. |
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| Keywords: | social harmony and stability index system evaluation social alarming |
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